China’s industrial carbon emissions: Historical drivers at the regional and sectoral levels and projections in light of policy targets
Has the industrial sector in China effectively been decarbonizing in recent years, across different regions and subsectors, and is it plausible that it will reduce its CO2 emissions in conformity with national and internationally pledged emission goals?
- 2017 - 2019
China is the largest CO2 emitter in the world, and the industrial sector accounts for almost 84% of the national emissions. The index decomposition analysis is employed to study the driving forces of industrial emissions at regional and sectoral levels. Then, we try to understand whether and how the industrial sector could achieve the emissions goals in 2020 and 2030.
Tracking the progress of decarbonization in China’s industrial sector towards emission targets aims to help the researchers to understand the historical efforts China have done and the effects of these efforts. Some results also can evaluate the impacts of current policies on the future emissions. This project can give people who are interested in the decarbonization more insights about current and future emissions of China’s industrial sector.
Using a widely used method, index decomposition analysis, to study the driving forces of industrial carbon intensity and energy intensity from the regional and sectoral perspectives. Scenario analysis is used to explore how the regional convergence will contribute to the emission goals in 2020 and 2030.
The results and conclusions of this project can provide some policy implications for China to cut down the industrial CO2 emissions. Then, this project can find some evidences to prove whether and how China’s industrial sector can achieve the 2020 and 2030 emission goals.
The Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML) has a long history and many colleges have experience to study the topics related to CO2 emissions, which is a powerful support to conduct this project.
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Wang J, Hu MM, Rodrigues JDF. An empirical spatiotemporal decomposition analysis of carbon intensity in China’s industrial sector. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 195: 133-144.