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CEES.center lecture - Political Parties and Referendums in Eastern Europe: The Effect of Cues and Pre-Campaign Attitudes

  • Sergiu Gherghina (Glasgow University)
Tuesday 26 November 2019
Turfmarkt 99
2511 DP The Hague
Referendum Hungary

Political parties provide cues that influence how people vote in referendums. While this effect has been broadly covered in the literature, little attention has been paid to who picks up the cues and how the effect works against the attitudes of voters before campaigns.

To address this gap in the literature, Sergiu Gherghina (Glasgow University) analyzes under what circumstances voters in referendums are influenced by political parties and when they decide according to their opinion prior to campaign. Gherghina uses individual level data from original surveys conducted for seven referendums organized in East European countries (Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Republic of Moldova, Romania and Slovakia) between 2015 and 2019. The results indicate that the determinants of party cue voting are completey different from those pushing people to gollow their own attitude.

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