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Constructing Cassandra: Why Intelligence Fails

Friday 10 May 2019
Intelligence Lecture Series 2019
Turfmarkt 99
2511 DP The Hague


Please send an email to Clotilde Sebag confirming your attendance.

About the lecture

How does intelligence analysis come about? Dr. Milo Jones, will come to give a lecture on his dissertation, which was published as a book at Stanford University Press in 2013: Constructing Cassandra.

In the book, Jones considers intelligence analysis as a group activity, on which factors such as identity and culture of the individual analysts and the organization are of influence. Jones analyzes the intelligence failures at the CIA that resulted in four key strategic surprises experienced by the US: the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, the Iranian revolution of 1978, the collapse of the USSR in 1991, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks—surprises still play out today in U.S. policy. Although there has been no shortage of studies exploring how intelligence failures can happen, none of them have been able to provide a unified understanding of the phenomenon.

An introduction to, and discussion of, the book (with dr. Mark Lowenthal) can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MapLTtI2-A.

Dr. Milo Jones

About the speaker

Dr. Milo Jones is a Warsaw-based consultant and a Visiting Professor at IE Business School in Madrid.

Milo spent six years as a staff member of Wal-Mart’s Leadership Academy, where he worked with the retailer’s senior leadership on questions surrounding strategy, leadership and technology. In addition to Walmart, Milo’s experience in executive education extends to work with Axa, Accenture, Banco Santander, BHP Billiton, Cemex, Cencosud, EY, Gestamp, Gulf Medical, Kimberly-Clark, Nikkei, Nissan, Renault and Westpac Bank.

Before entering the business world, Milo served as an officer in the US Marine Corps and graduated from the US Army’s Airborne Course. In addition to his PhD from the UK’s University of Kent, he holds an MA with Distinction in International Relations, an MBA from London Business School, and a BA in Art History from Northwestern University.

About the lecture series

The Intelligence and Security Lecture Series is hosted by the Intelligence Research Group of the Institute of Security and Global Affairs.

A range of distinguished speakers, both practitioners and academics, will share their analyses and knowledge on the most important issues in the field of intelligence. The Lecture Series also strives to be a platform for experts and the wider public to engage in thought-provoking discussions.

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